Real Estate Blog

Jan. 18, 2022

Southern Oregon Market Stats Jan

Southern Oregon Market Stats

October 1, 2021- December 31, 2021

 

By Jake Rockwell

Its all about spotting the subtle market shifts... we're seeing a few areas that make us critically about the numbers and the market. Days on market seems to shift up and down along with the months of available inventory, while still remaining at some historically low thresholds. However, it seems that the median sales prices might be showing signs of coming back down just slightly in some areas and inventory seems to improve. As more people are bouncing back from the COVID era economy they are returning to typical spring fever for real estate sales. More homes are coming on the market, yet the trend from out of state buyers remains as the work from home stipulations and long term work force flexibility has changed the workplace dynamic allowing so many to move to more affordable areas, in our case Californians to Oregon. This means that those higher price points will most likely remain as the demand calls for it where as days on market may begin to go back up and months of inventory moves along-side it. 

 

Key Take-Aways:

  • Josephine County Inventory went up by 62.6% from this same time in 2020
  • Jackson County Inventory went up by only 9.4% from this same time in 2020
  • Months of inventory fell from 2+ to just 1.4
  • Days on market in Jackson County dropped from 36 to 27

 

 

Links to Stats:

 

Create a custom market report catered to your neighborhood or any specific area and criteria.

Want an instant market valuation for you property?

 

Jan. 13, 2022

Two Ways Homebuyers Can Win in Today’s Market

 


Two Ways Homebuyers Can Win in Today’s Market

Act Early and Save

The earlier you act this year, the more affordable your purchase will be. That’s because experts project mortgage rates will rise as we move deeper into 2022. According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is expected to be 3.5% by year’s end. Experts forecast home prices will rise as well.

That means the longer you wait, the more it will cost you to buy a home. Instead, act early and purchase your home before rates and prices rise further. Not to mention, the sooner you buy, the sooner you can experience the benefits of continued home price appreciation yourself. Once you have your home, you’ll be able to watch its value rise, giving you confidence that your investment is a sound one.

Buy Now, Move Later

Keep in mind, with high buyer demand like we’re seeing today, you’ll be competing against other potential homebuyers, which means you need to find a way to stand out. One way to accomplish this is to negotiate with sellers and present terms that meet their ideal needs. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist for realtor.comexplains one lever flexible buyers can pull to entice sellers:

“For buyers with more flexible timelines – such as those making a move from a big city – offering a couple extra months on the closing date could sweeten the deal for sellers who also need to buy their next home.”

In other words, if you’re eager to purchase a home now before it becomes more costly and you don’t have to move right away, you could extend the date of your closing and provide the seller with the time they need to find their next home. That’s a deal that could benefit both parties and help you stand out from the crowd.

Of course, it’s important to work with a real estate professional for expert advice on how to make your best offer. Your trusted advisor knows what’s working in your market and what may appeal to sellers.

Bottom Line

Experts project home prices and rates will increase in 2022. That means buyers who are ready should act soon and find ways to strengthen their offer to meet sellers’ needs. Reach out to a trusted real estate advisor today to learn how you can win in today’s market.

Posted in Home Ownership
Jan. 5, 2022

WHAT WILL HAPPEN WITH THE HOUSING MARKET IN 2022?

Housing market forecast 2022
As we wrap another crazy year for real estate, there’s one big question on everyone’s minds right now: will the 2022 housing market continue to follow the same trajectory, or are we facing a possible downturn?

 

In today’s market, the most powerful tool you have to beat your competition is knowledge.

So, let’s take a deep dive into what leading real estate experts are projecting for 2022 so you have the confidence you need to crush your goals this year.

2022 HOUSING MARKET PREDICTIONS

The past two years have been full of exciting and record-breaking moments. It’s also seen its fair share of buyer fatigue, hesitancy and confusion.

Here’s what industry experts are saying about what they anticipate for the 2022 housing market.

Will Home Prices Go Up or Down?

In the past 12 months, home price appreciation has been the topic of many headlines and not in a good way. Speculation that we’re in another housing bubble has kept many buyers and sellers hesitant that we’re headed for another crash.

So, what does the future hold for home prices?

It’s important to remember that the 2021 market was anything but normal, and that escalating home values were a direct result of record-low inventory.

However, experts project that the inventory situation should improve in the coming year, slowing price appreciation.

But will home prices depreciate in 2022? Over 100 industry experts don’t think so. Instead, they are projecting a more modest appreciation of 5.1% in the next 12 months compared to the nearly 20% rise seen on average in 2021.

What’s Going to Happen with Mortgage Rates?

In case you didn’t know, the past year saw the lowest mortgage rates in the history of real estate.

So, if you have clients who are waiting for those rates to come back down or go down more, they may be waiting a very long time.

What’s important to remind your clients is that while homes right now may be less affordable than they were a year ago, they’re still extremely affordable.

If we look at the 30-year mortgage rate chronicled by Freddie Mac, we can see the average rates by decade:

  • 1970s: 8.86%
  • 1980s: 12.7%
  • 1990s: 8.12%
  • 2000s: 6.29%
  • 2010s: 4.09%

While experts don’t project that mortgage rates will rise a large amount, any increase would mean an increase in monthly mortgage payments.

A couple decimal points may not seem like a lot to most people, but it could make or break someone’s budget.

If you have buyers that are playing the waiting game, the best advice you can give to them is that a rise in mortgage rates coupled with continued home price appreciation only means one thing: paying more for the same house they’d buy now.

Will Housing Inventory Rise in 2022?

Inventory has been, without a doubt, the biggest player in the anything but ordinary real estate market we’ve experienced in the last two years.

With buyer fatigue running high, you’re probably getting asked, “Will housing inventory increase in 2022?”

The good news is, there are many factors that lead industry experts to anticipate a rise in homes for sale.

Of homeowners planning to enter the market in the next year:

  • 65% – Have just listed (19%) or plan to list this winter
  • 93% – Have already taken steps toward listing their home, including working with an agent (28%)
  • 36% – Have researched the value of their home and others in their neighborhood

The other big factor playing into a possible rise in inventory is the large amount of equity accumulated nationwide in 2021. According to experts, homeowners gained an average of $56,700 in equity in the past 12 months, a big incentive for sellers to list this winter.

While more inventory may take a bit of the edge off of today’s competitive market, it’s important to remind your clients that it doesn’t mean prices will fall or homes will become more affordable. There will just be more available to choose from.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR BUYERS & SELLERS FOR 2022?

There is still a lot of motivation for buyers and sellers in the market, and that’s not expected to change in the coming months.

With experts projecting a rise in inventory and mortgage rates remaining relatively low, both sides of the real estate transaction stand to benefit from making a move this year.

While today’s market might not be as crazy as it was a year ago, it’s still strong. Waiting until next year could mean losing out on a less competitive market and better affordability: the two biggest factors positively impacting buyers and sellers today.

Bottom Line

If we’ve learned anything in the past couple of years, it’s that while we can project the future, we can’t predict it.

While industry experts don’t expect the 2022 housing market to be as crazy as 2020 or 2021, it’s important to stay on top of the latest insights because there are so many factors that can alter the course of the industry.

Posted in News
Dec. 28, 2021

2022 Housing Market Forecast [INFOGRAPHIC]

2022 Housing Market Forecast [INFOGRAPHIC] | Keeping Current Matters

Some Highlights

  • What does the coming year hold for the housing market? Here’s what experts project for 2022.
  • Mortgage rates are projected to rise and so are home prices. Experts are forecasting buyer demand will remain strong as people try to capitalize on rates and prices before they climb, creating another strong year for home sales.
  • Connect with a local real estate professional so you can make your best move in the new year.
Dec. 21, 2021

Homebuyers Are Going on a Shopping Spree This Winter

 

Homebuyers Are Going on a Shopping Spree This Winter

Experts anticipate the real estate market will see a flurry of activity this winter, and that’s great news for today’s sellers. If you’re planning on listing your home, there’s no need to wait until the spring for better conditions – today’s real estate market is already heating up.

Buyers Have Warmed Up to the Idea of Purchasing This Winter

The past 18 months brought about significant lifestyle changes for many of us, including the rise in remote work, job changes, and even early retirement for some. For many people, it’s prompting a search for their next home now rather than waiting for warmer months.

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), points out how this winter may see a significant number of sales:

“Compared to other past winter seasons, this winter season’s sales activity will be stronger. . . . This winter, there will be more sales compared to pre-pandemic winters going back all the way to 2006.”

You might be wondering: what does strong sales activity mean for you? It means there are likely to be more buyers active in the market this winter – far more than more normal, pre-pandemic years.

In the same article, Danielle Hale, Chief Economist for realtor.com, puts it in these simple terms:

Sellers can expect to see plenty of buyers.”

The more buyers there are in the market, the more likely it is your home will get noticed. That can lead to a multiple-offer scenario or a potential bidding war. Receiving multiple offers on your home means you can select the right offer and terms for your situation – so you can truly win as a seller when you list your house this winter.

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking about selling your house, you don’t need to wait until the spring. Buyers are ready now. Connect with a local real estate advisor to learn more about why selling this holiday season could be the gift that keeps on giving.

Posted in Home Ownership
Dec. 8, 2021

Southern Oregon Market Stats

Southern Oregon Market Stats

Sept. 1 - Nov. 30, 2021

 

By Jake Rockwell

Many of the same trends continue to reflect in the numbers, low days on market, escalated pricing etc. etc. However, one thing to note, is that the rumors are true that Covid has propelled new builds!  Last year we had 134 New Urban Homes and this year we had 72  from September through end of November. However the most significant change is the median home sales price from $335,500 up to $400,000. 

 

Key Take-Aways:

  • Residential Inventory was overall up 24.3% 
  • Number of listings spiked in October showing that inventory is on the rise
  • Absorption rates have also increased to just over 2 months 

 

Links to Stats:

 

Create a custom market report catered to your neighborhood or any specific area and criteria.

Want an instant market valuation for you property?

 

Nov. 11, 2021

How Sellers Win When Housing Inventory Is Low

 

How Sellers Win When Housing Inventory Is Low

In today’s housing market, the number of homes for sale is much lower than the strong buyer demand. As a result, homeowners ready to sell have a significant advantage. Here are three ways today’s low inventory will set you up for a win when you sell this season.

1. Higher Prices

With so many more buyers in the market than homes available for sale, homebuyers are frequently getting into bidding wars for the houses they want to purchase. According to the latest data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), homes are receiving an average of 3.7 offers in today’s market. This buyer competition drives home prices up. As a seller, this certainly works to your advantage, potentially netting you more for your house when you close the deal.

2. Greater Return on Your Investment

Rising prices mean homes are also gaining value, which increases the equity you have in your home. In the latest Homeowner Equity Insights ReportCoreLogic explains:

“In the second quarter of 2021, the average homeowner gained approximately $51,500 in equity during the past year.”

This year-over-year growth in equity gives you the ability to sell your house and then put that money toward a down payment on your next home, or to keep it as extra savings.

3. Better Terms

In a sellers’ market like we have today, you’re in the driver’s seat if you make a move. You have the power to sell on your terms, and buyers are more likely to work with you if it means they can finally land their dream home.

So, is low housing inventory a big deal?

Yes, especially if you want to sell on your terms. Moving now while inventory is so low is key to maximizing your opportunities.

Bottom Line

If you’re interested in taking advantage of the current sellers’ market, contact a local real estate professional today to determine your best move.

Posted in Home Ownership
Nov. 5, 2021

Southern Oregon Market Stats Oct

Southern Oregon Market Stats

Aug 1st, 2021- Oct 31st 2021

 

By Jake Rockwell

Pouring over the numbers month after month gives an interesting perspective, being able to look at the numbers as they continue to increase month over month and year over year. Homes selling quicker and quicker, even through the pandemic and it's long lasting effects through economic recovery, now the data shows us across the Rogue Valley less and less inventory and homes selling even quicker.

Yet, our offices alone last month listed exactly 32 properties in just 31 days. Personally, it feels as though an adequate amount of homes are coming on the market but are just selling so much quicker. Coupled with statistics showing more and more permits for new builds and growth across the nation during this past year, it feels as though the market is gaining inventory. From the perspective of a licensed real estate agent these factors are starting to show a bit of redirection and market correction as the inflated home prices are starting to come down but only just slightly. When homes are priced at what would've been market value 6 months ago, they are sitting just a little longer (just a matter of days) and subsequently we are seeing more price reductions. These corrections are slight and the market is still aggressive with median sales still 

 

Key Take-Aways:

  • Existing Median home sales price went from $255,000 in 2016 to $380,700 in 2021
  • New Urban Median home sales price went from $286,000 in 2016 to $430,000 in 2021
  • Rural median sales have jumped the most during this timeframe up 51.6% 
  • Residential inventory went up by 33% from last year to now from 424 to 566

Links to Stats:

 

Create a custom market report catered to your neighborhood or any specific area and criteria.

Want an instant market valuation for you property?

 

Nov. 4, 2021

Experts Project Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Rise in 2022

Experts Project Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Rise in 2022

Mortgage rates are one of several factors that impact how much you can afford if you’re buying a home. When rates are low, they help you get more house for your money. Within the last year, mortgage rates have hit the lowest point ever recorded, and they’ve hovered in the historic-low territory. But even over the past few weeks, rates have started to rise. This past week, the average 30-year fixed rate was 3.14%.

What does this mean if you’re thinking about making a move? Waiting until next year will cost you more in the long run. Here’s a look at what several experts project for mortgage rates going into 2022.

Freddie Mac:

“The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) is expected to be 3.0 percent in 2021 and 3.5 percent in 2022.”

Doug Duncan, Senior VP & Chief Economist, Fannie Mae:

“Right now, we forecast mortgage rates to average 3.3 percent in 2022, which, though slightly higher than 2020 and 2021, by historical standards remains extremely low and supportive of mortgage demand and affordability.” 

First American:

“Consensus forecasts predict that mortgage rates will hit 3.2 percent by the end of the year, and 3.7 percent by the end of 2022.”

If rates rise even a half-point percentage over the next year, it will impact what you pay each month over the life of your loan – and that can really add up. So, the reality is, as prices and mortgage rates rise, it will cost more to purchase a home.

As you can see from the quotes above, industry experts project rates will rise in the months ahead. Here’s a table that compares other expert views and gives an average of those projections:Experts Project Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Rise in 2022 | Keeping Current MattersWhether you’re thinking about buying your first home, moving up to your dream home, or downsizing because your needs have changed, purchasing before mortgage rates rise even higher will help you take advantage of today’s homebuying affordability. That could be just the game-changer you need to achieve your homeownership goals.

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking of buying or selling over the next year, it may be wise to make your move sooner rather than later – before mortgage rates climb higher.

Posted in Home Ownership
Oct. 19, 2021

What Do Past Years Tell Us About Today’s Real Estate Market?

 

What Do Past Years Tell Us About Today’s Real Estate Market?

As you follow the news, you’re likely seeing headlines discussing what’s going on in today’s housing market. Chances are high that some of the more recent storylines you’ve come across mention terms like cooling or slowing when talking about where the market is headed.

But what do these terms mean? The housing market today is anything but normal, and it’s still an incredibly strong sellers’ market, especially when compared to the few years leading up to the pandemic. With that in mind, what can previous years tell us about today’s real estate market and if it’s truly slowing?

We’re Still Seeing an Above Average Number of Sales

You may see headlines about a drop in home sales. But are those headlines telling the full story? The most recent Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) does show a drop of about 2% from July to August. But the month-over-month decline doesn’t provide the full picture (see graph below):What Do Past Years Tell Us About Today’s Real Estate Market? | Keeping Current MattersAs the graph shows, historical context is key. Today’s home sales are well ahead of some of the more normal years that led up to the health crisis. That means buyers are still in the market, which is great news if you’re planning to list your home.

Houses Are Selling Faster Than Usual

When headlines mention the market is slowing, sellers may naturally wonder if their house will sell as quickly as they’d like. According to the most recent Realtors Confidence Index from NAR, homes are still selling at record speed (see graph below):What Do Past Years Tell Us About Today’s Real Estate Market? | Keeping Current MattersAgain, if we look back at data from previous years, we can see the average time on market – 17 days –  means homes are selling faster than a normal pace.

Bidding Wars Are Still the Norm

The Realtors Confidence Index from NAR also shows a drop in the average number of offers homes are receiving in August, and many headlines may simply focus there without providing the important context (see graph below):What Do Past Years Tell Us About Today’s Real Estate Market? | Keeping Current MattersAgain, it’s important to compare today’s market to trends from recent years. Currently, the average number of offers per listing is higher than 39 of the previous 45 months. That means the likelihood of a bidding war on your home is still high. And the number of offers your house receives can have a major influence on the final sale price.

So, Is the Market Slowing Down?

While there are slight declines in various month-to-month data, it’s important to keep historical context in mind when determining what’s happening in today’s market. Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, put it best recently, saying:

“It’s not the white-hot market from earlier in the year & it’s not the 2020 market benefiting from a wave of pent-up demand but make no mistake this is still a hot housing market.”

Bottom Line

Don’t let headlines make you rethink listing your home this fall. Selling today means you can still take advantage of high buyer demand, multiple offers, and a quick sale. If you’re considering selling your house, this fall is the perfect time to do so.

Posted in Home Ownership